After two years of conversations and disagreement on Ecuador taxation( they wanted a 70% income taxation), King Ross decided to cancel its project of Frutas del Norte Gold Mine.
Source: bnn.ca
Tuesday, 11 June 2013
Risks of prolonged monetary accommodative policies. IMF Report.
Rising stability Risks of Accommodative Monetary Policies
''The use of unconventional monetary policies in
advanced economies continues to provide essential support
to aggregate demand. These policies
However, a prolonged period of extraordinary
monetary accommodation could push portfolio
rebalancing and risk appetite to the point of creating
significant adverse side effects. While the net benefits
of unconventional policies remain highly favorable
today, these side effects must be closely monitored
and controlled''.
''the favorable funding environment for emerging market
economies might breed complacency about growing
challenges to domestic financial stability. Valuations
have not yet reached stretched levels (except in a few
hot spots), but sensitivity to higher global interest
rates and market volatility has increased across asset
classes, including in emerging market economies. A
prolonged period of continued monetary accommodation will increase vulnerabilities and sensitivity to a rise in rates''.
''Acute short-term stability risks have declined in the
euro area on the back of strong policy action. Prices
and liquidity conditions in sovereign, bank, and
corporate debt markets have improved dramatically,
and issuance has soared. However, medium-term
risks remain, reflecting a weak economic outlook,
persistent fragmentation, and structural challenges.
Some banks in the euro area periphery remain
challenged by deleveraging pressures, still-elevated
funding costs, deteriorating asset quality, and weak
profits.
Corporations in the periphery are directly
affected by bank deleveraging, cyclical headwinds,
and their own debt overhangs. Against this backdrop
more work needs to be done in the short term to
improve bank and capital market functioning, while
moving steadily toward a full-fledged banking union.
Policy actions have greatly reduced nearterm perceptions of tail risk''.
Excerpts from the IMF GFSR, April 2013
''The use of unconventional monetary policies in
advanced economies continues to provide essential support
to aggregate demand. These policies
are generating a substantial rebalancing of private
investor portfolios toward riskier assets, as intended.However, a prolonged period of extraordinary
monetary accommodation could push portfolio
rebalancing and risk appetite to the point of creating
significant adverse side effects. While the net benefits
of unconventional policies remain highly favorable
today, these side effects must be closely monitored
and controlled''.
''the favorable funding environment for emerging market
economies might breed complacency about growing
challenges to domestic financial stability. Valuations
have not yet reached stretched levels (except in a few
hot spots), but sensitivity to higher global interest
rates and market volatility has increased across asset
classes, including in emerging market economies. A
prolonged period of continued monetary accommodation will increase vulnerabilities and sensitivity to a rise in rates''.
''Acute short-term stability risks have declined in the
euro area on the back of strong policy action. Prices
and liquidity conditions in sovereign, bank, and
corporate debt markets have improved dramatically,
and issuance has soared. However, medium-term
risks remain, reflecting a weak economic outlook,
persistent fragmentation, and structural challenges.
Some banks in the euro area periphery remain
challenged by deleveraging pressures, still-elevated
funding costs, deteriorating asset quality, and weak
profits.
Corporations in the periphery are directly
affected by bank deleveraging, cyclical headwinds,
and their own debt overhangs. Against this backdrop
more work needs to be done in the short term to
improve bank and capital market functioning, while
moving steadily toward a full-fledged banking union.
Policy actions have greatly reduced nearterm perceptions of tail risk''.
Excerpts from the IMF GFSR, April 2013
EXPECT HIGH VOLATILITY,TURMOILS IN THE BOND AND STOCK MARKETS,IN THE PROCESS OF NORMALIZATION OF INTEREST RATES
''The rolling back of the U.S. Federal Reserve's massive quantitative easing program could be a major issue for all economies, according to former World Bank President Robert Zoellick. "[Fed] tapering is a big issue. I think for all economies - U.S., Europe, China, Southeast Asia - the fundamentals still go back to structural reforms," Robert Zoellick, told CNBC Asia's "Squawk Box" on Tuesday.
He added that "The question will be as the Fed eventually moves away from the monetary easing policies, what will be the effect of the [withdrawal of the wall of money that's moved around the world?"
See previous article on this Blog, End of easy money will put pressure on Latin American Currencies.
Time to adjust portfolios?
The global economy is “in the early stages of the recovery of the equity culture and perhaps the end of a 30-year growing love affair” with bonds, Jim O’Neill said earlier in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move” with Mark Barton.
''The Federal Reserve is buying $85 billion of Treasuries and mortgage securities each month to support the world’s largest economy by putting downward pressure on borrowing costs. Speculation the central bank may taper its debt purchases in the coming months may damp demand for emerging-market bonds, as well as U.S. debt, said O’Neill''.
He added that "The question will be as the Fed eventually moves away from the monetary easing policies, what will be the effect of the [withdrawal of the wall of money that's moved around the world?"
See previous article on this Blog, End of easy money will put pressure on Latin American Currencies.
Time to adjust portfolios?
The global economy is “in the early stages of the recovery of the equity culture and perhaps the end of a 30-year growing love affair” with bonds, Jim O’Neill said earlier in an interview on Bloomberg Television’s “On The Move” with Mark Barton.
''The Federal Reserve is buying $85 billion of Treasuries and mortgage securities each month to support the world’s largest economy by putting downward pressure on borrowing costs. Speculation the central bank may taper its debt purchases in the coming months may damp demand for emerging-market bonds, as well as U.S. debt, said O’Neill''.
“It’s all part of this big normalization that’s going to happen,” O’Neill said in an interview in London today. “In the process, there could be quite ugly days.”
''The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose four basis points, or 0.04 percentage point, to 2.25 percent at 6:14 a.m. New York time. It touched 2.26 percent, the highest since April 2012 and up from a record-low 1.38 percent on July 25".
Ten-year yields, which were last above 4 percent in April 2010, may reach that level “not next week, but in the next couple of years if the U.S. is getting back to normality,” O’Neill said.
Source CNBC, Bloomberg.
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