Sunday, 2 February 2014

Happy Chinese New Year

Pollution concerns may subdue the celebratory bangs and fancy firework displays.
News and rumors about the H7N9 virus may cook up a worry about poultry in kitchens.
Difficulty in getting a ticket home may leave planned trips aborted.
And work may keep some from joining their loved ones for this once-a-year moment of togetherness.
But nothing should dilute the festive mood of Spring Festival.
When dusk falls today, most of us will be home, heading home, or with our hearts home.
Home is sufficient reason for every Chinese, rich or poor, spendthrift or frugal, near or far, to hit the road and brave the crowds. Times change. Economic conditions differ. But our sentimental attachment to home will not.
There is no better way to celebrate the warmth of home than the togetherness tonight with loved ones. There are no winners, no losers at the family dinner table. For those who gained, it is time of sharing. For those who suffered, it is time of healing.
When we bid farewell to the Year of the Snake and usher in the Year of the Horse, a whole new start will be there for each and every of us. That is exactly what Spring Festival is about - to leave the bad behind, and embrace the good ahead.
The outgoing year may not have been easy and enjoyable for each of us. Many of our fellow citizens are still struggling for subsistence. Even for most of us who earned more and found life getting better, there is plenty to complain about.
Urban dwellers about haze. Rural residents about arbitrary land acquisitions. Those in between - rural laborers working in cities - about the invisible fence that renders them outsiders in their new places of residence. And everyone about corruption, injustice, income gaps and food safety.
But still the Year of the Snake was a hopeful one. The economy defied hard-landing prophecies, outperformed anticipations, and remains in decent shape. Tougher anti-graft, anti-extravagance moves are making officials behave themselves. In a further sign of positive change in governance philosophy, President Xi Jinping just declared that safeguarding human rights is the basis for preserving stability, and the essence of preserving stability is safeguarding human rights.
Changes in policy orientations have resulted in tangible improvements in people's lives and are inspiring higher hopes.
That is also our sincere wish for the world at large.
Source: Xinhua

Fireworks light up sky in Hong Kong to celebrate Lunar New Year



China's Year of the Horse Spring Festival Gala

China's Year of the Horse Spring Festival Gala

Thrifty fireworks lessen China's smog pain

China sees less smog during the lunar new year celebrations, as people have shown "quiet" support for the government call for fewer fireworks.
Most of the megacities reported less air pollution, good visibility and less noise on the eve of China's Spring Festival. The Spring Festival falls on Friday this year.
Beijing's air quality on the eve of the Spring Festival was "much better" than last year with the average PM 2.5 reading between 140-160 micrograms per cubic meter from 6 p.m. on Thursday to midnight.
The municipal environmental monitoring center said that last year, Beijing recorded its highest ever reading (over 1,000) after a firework frenzy on the lunar new year's eve.
The capital also had fewer fires and injuries on Thursday night.
The municipal government was so thrilled that it expressed gratitude in a public letter on Friday to local citizens who answered its call of replacing fireworks with flowers and electronic substitutes for celebrations.
The letter also calls for continuing such "environment-friendly " practices in coming days.
Harbin, the capital of northeast Heilongjiang Province, also experienced a rare clean lunar new year's eve as the average PM 2.5 reading stood at 103 micrograms per cubic meter after the pyrotechnic peak at midnight.
Chinese people light firecrackers and fireworks to celebrate the Spring Festival, the beginning of the lunar new year. Traditionally, the noise was believed to scare away evil spirits and bad luck. However, with regular smog suffocating China in recent years, the contribution of fireworks to air pollution has drawn the attention of authorities.
Posts and cheesy one-liners calling for people not to set off firecrackers are circulating on Chinese social media platforms.
"The efforts has paid off, but we definitely need to do more," Tang Lili, an official with the environmental monitoring center of east China's Jiangsu Province told Xinhua, referring to an air quality report.
The report showed the peak PM 2.5 reading on Thursday night and Friday morning was 568 micrograms per cubic meter, a remarkable drop compared with last year's 800, but still far above "clean".
"Factories have been closed for the holiday and there are far fewer cars on road, so the fireworks are the main pollutant," said Tang.
"We still have a long way to go to raise public awareness and the government should take tough measures when necessary," she said.
In this regard, Beijing takes the lead. The capital cut the number of licensed firecrackers and fireworks retailers by 12 percent this year to 1,178 stalls. For the first time, municipal authorities required retailers to record the identities and phone numbers of buyers of more than five boxes of fireworks. If the customer refuses to give the information, retailers are obliged to refuse sale or sell a smaller amount.
Statistics on fireworks and firecrackers from the Beijing municipal office showed as of Thursday, more than 126,000 boxes of fireworks had been sold, down 52 percent from last year.
In December, the office announced an emergency ban on fireworks if orange or red air pollution alerts were issued.
An orange alert means forecast pollution of over 300 micrograms per cubic meter for the following 24 hours, or of over 200 micrograms per cubic meter for 72 hours.
Residents receive cell phone text messages notifying them of alerts, and the police will prevent the public from flouting the ban, said Yu Lianwei, an official with Beijing's public security bureau.
Source: Xinhua

China: Frugal festivities for Spring Festival

Fewer banquets, gifts and galas; more reunion meals at home instead of restaurants; grassroots cultural shows: the chinese observe Spring Festival frugally but still have fun.
The frugality campaign, launched late in 2012 by central authorities, has brought big changes to the most important Chinese holiday, this year.
"In previous years, we usually had dinners on the eve of the festival in restaurants, which provided fine food. But we always felt a lack of the atmosphere of our whole family gathering together to make the food with our own hands," said Wu Zilong of Shijiazhuang, capital of the northern province of Hebei.
In the past, leftovers symbolized surplus. This year, dinner comes in suitable amounts, said Wu, worried about waste.
Since Xi Jinping took the helm of the Communist Party of China in November 2012, the Party come up with a series of detailed regulations to uproot extravagance by government workers, such as requiring officials to travel with smaller entourages, simplifying receptions and practising frugality while the austerity drive continues apace.
Prior to the week of New Year holidays which began on Friday, the Party ordered more supervision and welcomed tip-offs from citizens and the media about excessive spending and gifts.
Sales of expensive liquor and tobacco have dropped drastically compared with previous years.
"People buy famous brands mainly for gifts, so priced liquor does not sell well if fewer people send gifts. Prices have had to come down, otherwise there would be no sale at all," said Han, a salesman RT-Mart super in Jinan, capital of Shandong Province.
The change has even affected garbage collectors. Zhu Yuankui, a garbage dealer in Jinan, said his business was bad as people seldom bought luxury goods with excessive packaging for their own needs. The amount of quality garbage he collected dropped by half in January, he said.
In the past, people stored up large amounts of food in advance to treat guests, which usually led to waste. "Supermarkets keep open during the holiday, so we can buy goods any time we need to," said Li Lan, another citizen of Shijiazhuang.
Frugality is also reflected in the arrangements of local governments.
In Fengxian County, Shaanxi Province, fresh flower pots on streets were all canceled this year. Undamaged lanterns used in 2013 were reused for decorations, saving some 30,000 yuan (5,000 U.S.dollars).
"Though decorations were less, workers cleaned up the old lamps in public venues and our county's atmosphere remains very festive," said a local park and sanitation official.
Despite the austerity, grassroots traditions, such as temple fairs, are going strong this festival. More than 700 exhibitions or folklore shows are happening during the festival in Hebei, said Wang Zhenru, a provincial publicity official.
It is the most important time for family reunions and people who spend most of the time working away from home do not hesitate to travel back home in crowded trains, just for a short gathering with parents or children.
It turns out that all the self-denial has made people feel more relaxed, no longer fretting over expensive gifts. This year, the precious days we enjoy with our families is higher quality time, and at a lower cost.
"Spring Festival should have its own flavor, but it should not be the smell of firecrackers or roasting meat. It should be a flavor of reunion." said Li Yuhe, a farmer in Qilihai township, Ninghe County, Hebei Province.
Source: Xinhua

« Paris, Madrid, même combat pour l'IVG », ont scandé les manifestants parisiens

« Mujeres, unidas, jamas seran vencidas !  », scande-t-on, « Aborto libre », « Solidaridad con las mujeres españolas », brandit-on à bout de bras samedi 1erfévrier. Les manifestants, des deux sexes et de tous âges, sont tous ce jour-là des femmes espagnoles, devant l'Ecole militaire, dans le 7ème arrondissement parisien. Le défilé qui les a menés jusqu'à l'ambassade d'Espagne se veut à l'unisson de la manifestation qui se déroule au même moment à Madrid contre le projet du gouvernement conservateur de Mariano Rajoy qui restreint l'accès à l'avortement.

Des touristes venus de la péninsule ibérique, un couple d'expatriés andalous installé ici pour affaires, Sonia, 23 ans, Madrilène et étudiante Erasmus aux Arts et Métiers, que l'on croise au hasard du cortège, se disent émus de tout ce monde, impressionnés de cette combativité française, de cette solidarité. De ces panneaux liant le destin des femmes françaises à celui de leurs voisines espagnoles. Ces « Paris, Madrid, même combat pour l'IVG ». Portés par une foule compacte, ces ressortissants espagnols ne le sont guère, en revanche, par l'optimisme. La contestation bloquera la loi quelques mois, pensent-ils, mais elle ressortira.

Tout ce que la France compte d'associations féministes, de défense des droits de l'Homme ou de la laïcité, de syndicats, de partis politiques de gauche et d'extrême gauche, ou écologistes, est représenté. Près d'une centaine d'organisations a lancé cet appel à marcher pour « la liberté face à l'obscurantisme ». En nombre, des femmes sexagénaires, septuagénaires, y ont répondu. Elles ont ressorti les aiguilles à tricoter, qu'elles ont plantées dans les chignons et les bérets, les cintres cousus aux manteaux, toutes ces armes symboliques des combats d'antan contre l'avortement clandestin. Mais la cigarette, désormais électronique, les maris ou compagnons massivement présents à leurs côtés, marquent bien un peu le changement d'époque…
« Pas d'incrust dans mon utérus » : certains slogans témoignent de la relève générationnelle. D'autres jeunes manifestants ont recyclé sur des cartons d'emballage maladroitement découpés les slogans de leurs grand-mères (« Un enfant si je veux quand je veux »« Mon ventre est à moi, avorter est un droit »). Sans toujours en être conscients. Sarah, 22 ans, en master de philosophie, pense qu' « avec toutes ces peurs irrationnelles d'un déclin, les gens se raccrochent aux valeurs les plus passéistes possibles. Ceux qui n'ont pas craint de se dire contre le mariage pour tous peuvent très bien s'en prendre maintenant à l'IVG…»
« Franchement », Armelle, Normalienne en Perfecto, est « choquée » : « Voir qu'il y a tant de gens réactionnaires, prêts à remettre en cause un droit fondamental qu'ils n'ont pas vécu dans leur chair ! ». Elle l'a vécu « viscéralement », pas plus tard que cette année, celle des ses 22 ans. Elle peut raconter les sites anti-IVG qui apparaissent lorsque l'on tape le mot « avortement » sur Google. La difficulté detrouver un médecin. Les discours culpabilisants. Le mois entier passé à saigner.« Pas simple du tout. Mais heureusement que je peux encore choisir si je veux d'un enfant à 22 ans. »

Asie-Pacifique: En exil, l’ex-premier ministre Thaksin divise toujours la Thaïlande

 Il est le grand absent mais sa présence partout se fait sentir. Il est en retrait mais c'est son nom qui est sur toutes les lèvres. Et c'est sur lui, en exil à Dubaï, que se focalisent toutes les haines des manifestants anti-gouvernementaux. Alors que les Thaïlandais votent, dimanche 2 février, lors d'élections législatives à haut risque, boycottées par le plus grand parti d'opposition, l'ancien premier ministre Thaksin Shinawatra continue à susciter adulation et détestation.

Les foules d'habitants de Bangkok, à l'appel des chefs d'un mouvement d'opposition qui s'efforce de faire chuter l'actuel gouvernement depuis plus de deux mois, sont une fois de plus descendues dans la rue ce dimanche pourempêcher les opérations de vote et, à terme, déligitimer la première ministre Yingluck Shinawatra qui s'accroche au pouvoir.

Mais à travers Yingluck, 46 ans, élue en 2011, c'est bien Thaksin, le frère aîné, 64 ans, qui est visé. Au pouvoir entre 2001 et 2006, date à laquelle il fut renversé par un coup d'Etat militaire, cet ancien policier qui fit fortune dans les télécoms continue de faire office de bouc émissaire.
Thaksin, dont le règne fut marqué par la corruption, n'a certes pas inventé la « mauvaise gouvernance » que les manifestants reprochent également au gouvernement de sa soeur. Le chef de file de la fronde, Suthep Thaugsuban, un ancien vice-premier ministre, traîne lui aussi quelques casseroles. Mais ce que les opposants de l'ex-chef de gouvernement désignent comme le « système Thaksin » cristallise désormais les réactions de rejet de la politique et de la démocratie, telle qu'elle a été mise en place dans ce pays aux strates multiples de pouvoir(armée, palais royal, gouvernement).
Quand il était aux affaires, Thaksin fut un singulier personnage. Capitaliste déterminé à élever le niveau de vie des paysans en mettant sur pied des programmes de subventions et de protections sociales inédits, ses adversaires lui reprochent d'avoir été aussi populiste que populaire. Surtout dans les régions du nord et du nord-est où il est encore vénéré.
Nouveau riche partisan de la mondialisation, il devint l'adversaire des vieilles familles et des groupes économiques traditionnels. Pour eux, son comportement symbolisa tout ce qu'il y avait de plus indécent dans une société et unestablishement pétris de valeurs conservatrices. Tout juste si l'on ne l'accusa pas de vouloir détrôner le roi, lui qui se permettait presque, dixit ses ennemis, de jouerles petits monarques face à la figure très vénérée du souverain Bhumibol Adulyadej, malade et très âgé.
Thaksin voulut ainsi mettre en place un système au sein duquel cet affairiste-politicien, dont la vision du monde n'était pas celle d'un grand démocrate, aurait pesé sur tous les leviers. « Le leadership populiste de Thaksin représenta un défi pour la monarchie », remarquent Pasuk Phongpaichit et Chris Baker dans un article sur le populisme de Thaksin. « Il promettait, continuent-ils, de remplacerune démocratie sous influence par une sorte de régime à parti unique ».
Ce mélange de populisme et d'autoritarisme qui caractérisa l'ère Thaksin.
L'attitude des classes moyennes et supérieures de Bangkok à l'égard des partisans de Thaksin, souvent originaires du monde rural, est souvent teintée de paternalisme. Et si elles rejettent l'homme, en fuite depuis 2008 pour échapper à des accusations de corruption et d'abus de pouvoir, c'est aussi parce qu'elles remettent en question un modèle démocratique thaï qui ne peut, selon eux,amener au pouvoir des « gens bien ». La démocratie conduirait ainsi à la « tyrannie de la majorité ».
Quelle que soit la légitimité des critiques envers l'actuel gouvernement, censéavoir perpétué le système Thaksin, la mémoire des turpitudes de l'ancien premier ministre reste vive. Comme l'écrivait en 2005 Nicolas Revise dans une étude duCentre d'études et de recherches internationales (CERI), « Thaksin a imposé unstyle brutal, autoritaire, mû par une ambition unique : s'emparer de l'Etat pourassurer une croissance économique favorable aux milieux d'affaires et au marché domestique. »
Plus de sept ans après son renversement par les militaires, et parce qu'il a réussi à se réincarner dans un autre avatar en instrumentalisant sa soeur, l'ombre portée de Thaksin Shinawatra et sa personnalité controversée continuent d'obscurcir les chances de réconciliation d'une nation plus divisée que jamais. Et les élections de dimanche risquent de confirmer ces clivages, porteurs de violences.
Source: Le Monde Lecture Zen

A Kiev, de l'autre côté des barricades, chez les terribles Berkout

« Berkout ». La seule évocation du nom suffit à faire briller de rage ou de crainte les yeux des protestataires qui défient le président ukrainien Viktor Ianoukovitch depuis deux mois. Depuis le début de la crise, et encore plus depuis qu'elle a pris une tournure violente, cette unité d'élite du ministère de l'intérieur, composée de 4 000 à 6 000 hommes, catalyse tout le ressentiment de la contestation.
C'est elle, le 30 novembre, qui a matraqué des étudiants pacifiques et des journalistes, au tout début des manifestations. Elle qui a donné l'assaut contre la place de l'Indépendance le 11 décembre. Elle enfin – mais aussi les Troupes de l'intérieur [l'équivalent des gendarmes mobiles], moins entraînées et composées à 40 % d'appelés – qui est accusée d'exactions lors des affrontements avec les manifestants entre les 19 et 23 janvier : tirs à balles réelles, cocktails Molotov renvoyés, morceaux de métal ajoutés aux grenades assourdissantes, passages àtabac, humiliation de certains manifestants arrêtés…

Allons donc voir ces fameux Berkout. La procédure est finalement assez légère : il suffit de s'adresser au ministère de l'intérieur. Peu de journalistes l'ont fait ; nous nous rendons sur place aux côtés d'une équipe de la télévision citoyenne GromTV.


Des "Berkout". Cette force d'élite du ministère ukrainien de l'intérieur est composée de 4000 à 6000 hommes.

Seulement, il faut pouvoir accéder à ce camp des Berkout que l'on avait pris l'habitude d'observer depuis les barricades de la rue Grouchevski – masse indistincte de casques noirs et de boucliers argentés. Impossible de passer la dernière barricade tenue par les manifestants sur la ligne de front.
Les hommes casqués et sommairement armés qui la tiennent ont pour consigne d'éviter tout ce qui pourrait ressembler à une provocation. A la moindre étincelle, le fragile cessez-le-feu qu'ils ont consenti pour que les dirigeants de l'opposition tentent de négocier une sortie de crise pourrait vaciller.
Il faut donc contourner le « front », faire le grand tour par la rue Institutska et le parc Marinskiï, puis passer un, deux, trois barrages. Derrière, s'ouvre un paysage surréaliste : celui du quartier gouvernemental comme en état de siège, rempli de camions militaires, de blindés légers, d'hommes en uniforme qui déambulent sur la neige noircie par la fumée des incendies.
Il y a là aussi des fonctionnaires qui rejoignent leur bureau comme si de rien n'était, et des jeunes en survêtement aux visages peu amènes : les fameuxtitouchkis, ces voyous que le pouvoir rétribue pour accomplir certaines basses besognes et harceler les manifestants.
Ceux postés sur un talus qui domine le quartier n'ont guère envie. Malgré leurs passe-montagnes et l'assurance de l'anonymat, ils refusent : « Personne ne vous parlera ici ! », « Nous faisons tout pour éviter les victimes et c'est tout juste si on ne nous traite pas de cannibales ! » explique finalement l'un des hommes qui accepteront de s'exprimer. Ils sont trois, serrés autour d'un brasero, aussi vulnérables face au froid glacial que « ceux d'en face ».
« L'un des nôtres est mort [d'une crise cardiaque après être resté dans le froid], 300 autres sont à l'hôpital, soignés pour des brûlures, des traumatismes, des plaies. Et comment on est censés prendre ça ? » Ça, c'est la banderole que les manifestants ont déployée sur la première barricade et que l'on aperçoit de ce côté-ci : « Souviens-toi que quelqu'un t'attend à la maison ».
« Nous avons peur pour nos familles, reprend un autre, qui ne dira pas plus son nom ni n'ôtera sa cagoule. Certaines ont été placées sous protection. » Les groupes de l'opposition, y compris les plus radicaux, qui subissent une répression aveugle et dont certains ont vu les adresses de leurs familles diffusées sur Internet, ont pourtant publié un communiqué assurant qu'ils ne s'en prenaient en aucun cas aux femmes et aux enfants.
Qu'en est-il des abus qu'ils sont accusés d'avoir commis ? « Regardez, je vais vous montrer la cartouche la plus humaine qui soit », dit l'un d'eux, montrant une cartouche de chevrotine dont il extrait, d'un coup de tenailles, de petites billes de caoutchouc. « Nous ne tirons que dans les jambes », ajoute-t-il.
Des manifestants ont pourtant reçu de graves blessures au visage. L'homme hausse les épaules, fataliste : « Même avec un doigt, je peux vous arracher un œil ! » Et tant pis pour les nombreux indices montrant que la force a été employée dans une proportion bien plus grande : témoignages de médecins, de manifestants, vidéos diffusées sur Internet, balles ou grenades « améliorées » non explosées récupérées sur place…
Comprennent-ils les motivations de ceux qui les ont affrontés et le referont probablement ? « Ces barricades sont un cirque. Toute cette situation a été provoquée. » Par qui ? « Ces hommes n'ont pas à répondre aux questions d'ordrepolitique », intervient l'attachée de presse du ministère de l'intérieur… « Dans aucune ville d'Europe, le pouvoir n'aurait toléré ça, reprend un autre. Qu'est-ce que vous faites, vous, avec vos émeutiers arabes ? »

Source: Le Monde

The Globe and Mail: Talking about EM crisis, save your worry(only) for China(matters)?

To read the headlines, Argentina, Turkey and Ukraine are barrelling toward a crisis that will trigger an emerging market catastrophe bent on sinking us all.
Forget it. Argentina is a shrunken, perennially messed-up country whose failure would hardly shatter the global economy. Turkey is a rising economic power equipped with political leadership that is too savvy to allow a crisis to ruin everything. Ukraine? The photos of barricades and medieval-style catapults on the streets present an image of utter chaos. But if you worry about the fallout of an economy that is one-tenth the size of Canada’s, maybe you should collect Loblaw coupons instead of emerging market funds.
Save your worry for China.
There are signs of trouble within an economy that has been propelling global growth for 30 years or so. The growth rate is slowing while credit growth is galloping ahead at an unsustainable pace. The vast shadow banking system is a black box: Nasty things lurk within, as this week’s bailout of a dud $500-million (U.S.) trust loan showed.
To be sure, all is not well in the wider emerging market world, with or without China. According to EPFR Global, the Boston firm that tracks global investment fund flows, emerging market equity outflows reached $6.3-billion in the week to Jan. 29, the highest since August, 2011. The outflows in the month of January came to $12.2-billion. Emerging market bond funds are also getting hit, with $2.7-billion in outflows in the past week.
The numbers hardly created a great sucking sound. Some investors will use the sunken values as a buying opportunity.
Others will hold tight or join the exodus, such as it is. The danger is panic. If fund mangers see other fund managers pulling the plug, the herd mentality can kick in fast, leading to a crushing stampede.
A more benign form of exodus could be called portfolio contagion. That’s when an investor is losing in one part of his portfolio but winning elsewhere. So, he liquidates the winner to cover the losses in the loser, which is also sold. The selling pressure can build quickly, giving the impression that the entire emerging market is rotten, when it is not.
Every emerging market investor is, of course, nervous and trying to figure out what might spark a mass exodus.
China does not typically figure large in the doomsday scenarios. China came to the rescue after the 2008 financial collapse, importing everything that could be dug out of the ground to feed its burgeoning factories. Economists expect its economy to expand 7.5 per cent this year, a dream figure for a Group of Seven economy.
But 7.5 per cent is well short of the 10-per-cent growth rates that China pumped out year after year without fail.
The weaker Chinese growth rates have already hit commodity prices, making a mockery of the “stronger for longer” commodity cycle theory that more than a few mining and oil CEOs used to justify epic capital spending programs. Note the monster writedowns at companies such as Rio Tinto since then.
Runaway credit growth is the bigger worry. According to Capital Economics, total credit in China (including bank loans) is more than 200 per cent of gross domestic product, up from about 150 per cent at the end of the last decade.
Ruchir Sharma, head of emerging markets at Morgan Stanley Investment Management and author of Breakout Nations, calculated that the credit gap – the rise in private sector credit as a proportion of GDP – has climbed 71 percentage points since 2008, taking total debt to 230 per cent of GDP. “A credit boom of this scale is not likely to end well,” he wrote this week in the Financial Times.
He noted that many countries with extreme credit booms went on to suffer credit crises and all suffered falling growth rates, sometimes precipitously. In recent years, the victim countries have included Thailand, Malaysia, Chile, Zimbabwe and Latvia. China next?
China’s shadow banking system, which is responsible for much of the credit buildup, has emerged as a potential landmine. The system has thrived because it paid investors a fat return and used their money to make loans to borrowers who were unable to obtain loans at the low official banks rates. It is believed some of these high-priced loans were doled out to local party officials or governments to fund dubious projects.
If shadow banking loans start to blow up, or Chinese regulators rein in the system, the consequences would be potentially horrendous.
This week’s bailout of the $500-million trust loan, which was backed by loans to a defunct coal company, gave emerging market watchers the jitters. Citing Merrill Lynch figures, the FT reported that about $660-billion of trust loans are due for repayment or refinancing this year.
George Soros, who has a rather good history of anticipating financial ugliness, has turned into a China bear. Quoted in the Guardian in early January, he said: “The growth model responsible for [China’s] rise has run out of steam … restarting the furnaces also reignites debt growth, which can't be sustained for much longer than a couple of years.”
Yes, beware emerging markets, but mostly beware the biggest emerging market of them all.
Only China matter?

TechCrunch Disrupt On May 5-7 New York City


TechCrunch Disrupt is one of the most anticipated technology conferences of the year. On May 5-7, TechCrunch will be bringing Disrupt back to New York City to reveal an all new slate of outstanding startups, influential speakers, guests and more to the stage. If you’d like a quick overview, check out the video.
Disrupt starts every morning with panels of special speakers and guests, one-on-one chats featuring TechCrunch writers and editors, special guest speakers and judges, leading venture capitalists and fascinating entrepreneurs addressing the most important topics facing today’s tech landscape. In the afternoons, Startup Battlefield presentations begin, with the final presentations held on the last day of Disrupt. Please note: we will publish our agenda featuring panels, speakers, special guests and judges as we get closer to the event.
HACKATHON. We kick the excitement off with our incredibly popular Hackathon. The Hackathon will be held before the main event, Saturday, May 3 to Sunday, May 4, and brings together hackers and developers from all over the world, where they join teams to hack a product within a 24-hour time slot. During the Hackathon, energy drinks are flowing, photographers are capturing, TechCrunch writers are furiously scribbling interview notes, Nerf gun attacks are happening and much, much more. Once the Hackathon ends, every team presents their hack to a panel of expert judges and audience members. The winners go on to present their product on the Disrupt stage. Hackers make everything from useful services to hilarious products. You might just end up as big as these guys.
STARTUP BATTLEFIELD. Startup Battlefield is the very heart of TechCrunch Disrupt. Some 30 companies, chosen from hundreds of applicants, launch their products on the Disrupt stage before a live and online audience, including a panel of expert judges. After demos, pitches and tough rounds of questions, TechCrunch’s editors, working with the VCs, seasoned entrepreneurs and product experts, select six companies for a final, drama-filled round on the third and final day of Disrupt. Only one Battlefield contender takes home a $50,000 check and the coveted Disrupt Cup. 
SPONSORS. Sponsors can also be a part of Disrupt. Interested sponsors may purchase an Exhibitor Sponsor Table. When purchased, you will get a table space for the full 3 days of the conference, opening at registration and concluding at the end of the conference. Exhibit space includes: table linens, power, Ethernet Internet connection and table-top sign. Exhibitors may bring additional or replacement booth/graphics pre-approved by TechCrunch. This package also includes exhibitor-level branding on TechCrunch’s Disrupt event site and in our printed program guide given out to press and all audience members. This will include logo, link to our event site on TechCrunch.com and a 25-word product description. A press list is also available. 
TechCrunch Disrupt is one event not to miss. 
Hope to see you all there!

GoPro leaps from camera-maker to a producer and broadcaster of extreme video

For its next act, GoPro wants to also be known as a media company.
It is not a far stretch. In the last decade, GoPro has built a large and passionate following on YouTube and other Internet sites with its adrenaline-soaked and professionally made videos of surfers riding barrels of waves and skiers parachuting off snow-covered cliffs. Customers have independently uploaded millions of their own videos, too. And many happily label the clips with the term GoPro, which has become a sort of shorthand for action shots.
“I think GoPro is producing some of the best short-form content out there today,” said Nicholas Woodman, the company’s founder and chief executive, who owns and has piloted the racing car and motorcycles now parked in the building here. “There’s a phenomenal opportunity for us to leverage GoPro as a media brand.”
There are other companies with media ambitions similar to GoPro’s, most notably Red Bull, the energy drink maker. Red Bull has become synonymous with extreme sports and stunts by sponsoring high-altitude sky divers and downhill ice skating races, among other events. GoPro also sponsors athletes, including the surfer Kelly Slater, the snowboarder Shaun White and others who shoot footage of themselves in action using GoPro cameras, which they then send to the company every month for use in its online videos.
But GoPro has a long way to go in video to catch up to Red Bull. The energy drink maker has 3.3 million subscribers to its YouTube channel and more than 700 million views for its videos, compared with 1.7 million subscribers for GoPro’s channels and more than 400 million views. And Red Bull TV, the company’s entertainment network, recently became available on Apple TV. Those are the types of deals GoPro is now also after.
“It’s a tough environment,” said Michael J. Wolf, a former MTV Networks executive and managing director of Activate, a media consulting firm. “If they can truly stand for action sports, and they can have quality video that people want to watch, then they can succeed.”
Building up its media business could help fortify the company in a market where smartphones and tablets have devastated dedicated cameras. One of the best known casualties of the business was the Flip Video digital camera, which Cisco Systems bought in 2009 for $590-million and shuttered two years later. Woodman said he thought GoPro cameras and smartphones filled different needs and that smartphones were ill-suited to the kinds of rugged, hands-free uses for which GoPro is designed.
Pointing to an iPhone he placed on a desk in front of him, he said, “This gets in the way of that experience.”
GoPro has just begun to venture beyond YouTube, where its biggest audience is found, to seek out new distribution channels for its content. In October, Virgin America introduced a GoPro channel on its in-flight entertainment system featuring a 2 1/2-hour string of GoPro videos that are refreshed every two months. In its latest deal, the company reached an agreement with Microsoft for a GoPro channel that will be available to users of Microsoft’s Xbox game consoles.
The finalization of these new distribution deals is falling on the shoulders of Adam Dornbusch, who recently joined GoPro after working in television and film. Dornbusch said the company was in discussions with many other partners, many of whom are other makers of Internet-connected devices for television. GoPro is also “kicking around ideas with larger television networks” about possible co-production deals, he said.
“Some of the distributors are begging for our content,” Dornbusch said. “It’s that entertaining. It’s that aspirational.”
Sales of its cameras, which run from $199 to $399, are brisk. The company has said before that it expected to roughly double its 2012 sales in 2013, which would have put it around the $1-billion level, though it will not confirm that figure now. The company is widely expected to file for an initial public offering in the coming year, which will further raise its profile.
“GoPro’s biggest advantage is fundamentally they are a media device,” said Noah Brier, co-founder of Percolate, a technology firm in New York that helps large companies, including Red Bull, create content for the Internet. “It couldn’t be much more baked into the DNA of the company.”
GoPro’s videos are often catnip for share-happy online audiences, flooding social networks with the latest daredevil creations. Many videos are produced by GoPro itself, like a recent clip featuring Kevin Richardson, who calls himself the Lion Whisperer, as he snuggles with several big cats on a reserve in South Africa. The GoPro cameras Richardson wears during the encounter offer a far more intimate view of the lions than normal wildlife documentaries.
But some of the most popular videos on GoPro’s distribution channels are shot by independent users of the cameras. One of the biggest hits, with nearly 20 million views, is a tear-jerking two-minute clip of a firefighter in Fresno, Calif., discovering an unconscious kitten in a burned-out home and then reviving it with an oxygen mask and splashes of water. GoPro received permission from the firefighter before professionally editing the video and putting it on its channel.
GoPro is cagey about whether its media plans include selling advertising on its videos to other companies. For now, its videos primarily advertise the GoPro camera itself in one form or another. Even the videos its customers create and upload to YouTube themselves help spread the company’s marketing message by showing, in vivid detail, the exhilarating moments people can capture with the devices.
“What their product produces is so compelling, it doesn’t feel like advertising,” said Michael Mott, general manager of Xbox apps and developer ecosystem at Microsoft. “It’s a genuine expression of the creativity and craziness of what their users are capturing.”
Source: The Global and Mail

GoPro CEO Nicholas Woodman Discusses Inspiration | Disrupt in TechCrunch

                                         
                                         GoPro CEO story of passion.

                                         Source: TechCrunch

Yahoo’s Tumblr-Based Tech And Food Sites Have Seen 10M Uniques Since Jan. 7 Launch

At CES this year Yahoo unveiled its new Tech and Food vertical news and information sites, which feature a visual-heavy redesign that resembles Flipboard somewhat but with more of an online news site vibe. Today, Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer reiterated that the sites are based on a Tumblr backend, which marks a departure from the typically personal or informal use of the lightweight blogging platform as a CMS, and shared some traction figures around the sites.
Yahoo also provided some updates about the traffic being generated by the Tech and Food sites, which feature content from big-name hires made last year including former NYT columnist David Pogue and TV news anchor Katie Couric. Yahoo has seen over 10 million uniques in the less than a month since the launch of the two new sites, Yahoo revealed. To put that in perspective, the entire NYT website claims 31 million monthly uniques, according to its official media kit.
Mayer also discussed Tumblr’s overall performance, perhaps as a way to respond to speculation in the media that the blogging site is facing growth stagnation. Tumblr’s user base has grown 30 percent since March last year, Mayer says, and usage on mobile is faring even better, with over 50 percent growth between the same time and today. Last week,comScore numbers published by Forbes suggested growth might be flat, but Yahoo’s Tumblr team said that engagement is actually up 51 percent overall and 251 percent on mobile, citing data not properly captured by comScore as the reason for the discrepancy.
Mayer reiterated multiple times during the call that mobile and social are the key to Yahoo’s continued growth, and figuring out how the right way to advertise on that platform is clearly going to be a big priority. Already, Mayer says branded content on Tumblr is seeing huge uptake, so clearly the company thinks it’s addressing that opportunity correctly.
Source: TechCrunch

A Five Star Coreography: 2014 Year of the Horse, Spring Gala Festival


                                   The sound of walking horses, the hand beating front
                                  coreography and on the background a big screen with images of horses.
                                  Then comes a new choreography of fewer dancers imitating the
                                  movementes of the horses with a simultaneous drum beat.
                                  In the background a big screen with horses galloping.
                                  A compelling audio-visual artistic performance!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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