Tuesday, 27 August 2013

Precious Metals Prices 11.15 p.m. Eastern Time

Gold Price Futures   3 months     US$  1,416.40

Silver Price Futures  3 months     US$       24.59

Startups gain appeal as Japan Inc. names fade

In a shabby back-alley office in Shibuya, a Tokyo district known for youth culture and tech ventures, defectors from corporate Japan are hard at work for a little-known company they fervently believe will be the country's next big manufacturing success.

Like a startup anywhere in the world, its bare-bones setup crackles with an optimistic energy and urgent sense of purpose. What's different, for Japan, is that this startup's talent is drawn from the ranks of famous companies such as Mitsubishi, Michelin and Nissan.
Kohshi Kuwahara, 26, worked for more than two years at electronics giant Panasonic Corp. before hopping to Terra Motors Corp., a little-known venture that pays far less but is out to conquer the world with its stylish electric scooters. As with his colleagues at Terra, he recoiled from the hidebound culture of big Japanese companies and felt a deep sense of frustration at their eclipse by rivals such as South Korea's Samsung and America's Apple.
"If you're stuck in a system that promotes just by seniority, it's living a slow death like animals on a farm," said Kuwahara. "I wanted to be in a tough competitive place."
Despite having some of the developed world's least hospitable conditions for starting a new business, the nation's salaryman culture of guaranteed lifetime employment at a household-name corporation is no longer the unquestioned ideal.
Ventures are sprouting again after a decade marred by some high-profile failures and a striking aspect is their focus on manufacturing. Facebook and Google they are not. They are Sony and Toyota, all over again - but with young fresh faces.

Source: NewsOnJapan

Japan irritated by comments from UN's Ban Ki-moon

Japan voiced irritation on Tuesday over comments by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, who called on Tokyo to face up to the past and improve ties with its neighbours.

Chief Cabinet Secretary, Yoshihide Suga,said he doubted whether Ban was fully aware of the efforts Japan was making towards dialogue with China and South Korea, amid disputes over territory and historical differences.
Suga added that Tokyo would ask Ban, a former South Korean Foreign Minister, to explain what he meant when he urged Japanese leaders to conduct "very deep introspection".
"Prime Minister (Shinzo Abe) has called for dialogue with South Korea and China despite issues of concern," Suga told a regular press briefing.
"I feel a strong sense of doubt as to whether the remark was made with full understanding of our country's position."

Source: NewsOnJapan

Multilateral Effects of Gradual Ending of Bond Buying by U.S. Central Bank will be prominent discussion on G20 meeting

"Sluggish growth and spillovers of the U.S. Federal Reserve's plan to scale back its economic stimulus are expected to feature prominently in discussions at the upcoming leaders' summit of Group of 20 or G20, said Russian organizers of the event Tuesday.
At the St Petersburg summit slated for Sept. 5-6, policy makers will discuss ways to boost sagging economies in both developed and developing countries, which include creating favorable environment for private investment and scaling up investment in infrastructure, said G20 Sherpa Ksenia Yudaeva at a press conference here.
As for possible fiscal strategies G20 leaders would adopt to promote sustainable growth, Yudaeva said there will be "no unified approach" for all countries, as economic situation varies from country to country. But the ultimate goal is same, which is to " improve the fiscal situation in the medium term."
G20 leaders, she said, will adopt plans to assess global risks and set out actions regarding financial and structural reforms and job creation.
On the global financial and economic landscape, Yudaeva said one of the progress made since last year is a more stabilized Europe. Taking into consideration its economic growth momentum, " Europe seems to get out of the recession," she said.
As for the new formula of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) quotas, Yudaeva admitted it was the area where the least progress has been achieved".

China supports the UN investigation of reported use chemical weapons in Syria

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said on Monday that China supports the UN Secretariat in the investigation of reported use of chemical weapons in Syria.
Wang was responding to a question from Xinhua New Agency on the current situation in the war-torn country.
Syrian opposition groups have claimed that 1,300 people were killed in chemical weapons attacks by government forces on militant strongholds in the suburbs of Damascus last Wednesday. The Syrian government has denied the allegation.
A UN investigation team went to the al-Ghouta region to th east of the Syrian capital Damascus on Monday to start its investigation on the ground.
Wang said China takes a very serious view of the reported use of chemical weapons in Syria.
"China's position is that no matter who uses chemical weapons, we firmly oppose such an action," he said.
He said China supports the UN Secretariat to conduct an independent, objective, fair and professional investigation in accordance with relevant UN resolutions and find out the truth as soon as possible.
Political resolution is the only way out of the Syrian issue, he said, adding that the top priority is to convene a second Geneva conference on Syrian issue at an early date.

China: Important step to Reform Local Government functions

"The Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Tuesday vowed to transform local government and push forward institutional reform.
The 25-member political bureau met on Tuesday, chaired by Xi Jinping, Chinese President and general secretary of the CPC Central Committee.
Local government functions are to be transformed and streamlined to establish an administrative system with Chinese characteristics and dovetail with the central government's efforts in this regard, according to a statement issued after the meeting.
The core of the proposed reform is to transform government functions,with the emphasis on further reforming the administrative approval system with the view of continuing to streamline government and delegate power to the lower levels. The institutional reform should focus on prominent issues concerning people's livelihood.
Violations in government staffing should be resolutely investigated and punished.
Effective measures should be taken to ensure various requirements on transforming and streamlining the local government are well implemented so as to let the people feel the actual effect of change brought by the reform, according to the meeting".

U.S. and allies have tough choices in Syria

"U.S. and allies prepare for probable military strike on Syria.Western envoys have told the Syrian opposition to expect a military response soon against President Bashar al-Assad's forces as punishment for a chemical weapons attack last week, according to sources who attended a meeting with the rebel Syrian National Coalition in Istanbul.
One participant said: "The opposition was told in clear terms that action to deter further use of chemical weapons by the Assad regime could come as early as in the next few days."
Obama, Cameron and Hollande face questions at home about how a military intervention would end and whether it risks bolstering Assad if he rides out the assault or empowering anti-Western Islamist rebels if the Syrian leader is overthrown.
Turmoil in Egypt, where the 2011 uprising inspired Syrians to rebel, has underlined the unpredictability of revolutions. The presence of Islamist militants, including allies of al Qaeda in the Syrian rebel ranks, has given Western leaders pause. They have held back so far from helping Assad's opponents to victory.
Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moualem said U.S. strikes would help al Qaeda and called Western leaders "delusional" if they hoped to help the rebels reach a balance of power in Syria.


U. N. chemical weapons investigators put off until Wednesday a second trip to the rebel-held suburbs of Damascus where the chemical attack took place.

While evidence of chemical warfare could bolster an argument for intervention at the United Nations in the face of likely Russian and Chinese opposition, Western leaders and the Arab League have already declared Assad guilty.
Syria's government, backed by Iran, denies gassing its own people and has vowed to defend itself, but residents of Damascus are growing anxious.
Russia, Assad's main arms supplier, opposes military action and has suggested that rebel forces may have released the poison gas. China's state news agency recalled how flawed intelligence was used to justify the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003''.
Source: Reuters

Lybia's western oilfields closed.Armed Group shut pipeline.

 Libya's largest western oilfields closed when an armed group shut down the pipeline linking them to ports, its deputy oil minister said on Tuesday, reducing its oil output to a trickle.

Total Libyan oil output would be just under 200,000 barrels per day from pre-war levels of around 1.6 million bpd, according to a Reuters estimate, the worst disruption since the civil war in 2011.
The fields - El Feel and El Sharara - linked to the pipeline have a combined capacity of around 500,000 barrels per day.
In the east, striking workers, who had already cut Libyan oil output by over half, want more power for the eastern region, the oil minister said in a television interview earlier on Tuesday. Abdelbari al-Arusi said that output was at 665,000 bpd
Source: Reuters

UMP generated asset price increases and rising capital flows,and appreciation of local curriences in Emerging Markets

"Following the initiation of Unconventional Monetary Policies, we have seen episodes of asset price increases and rising capital flows by one measure, cumulative net flows to emerging markets rose by $1.1 trillion since 2008, squarely above its long-run structural trend by an estimated $470 billion. Corporate leverage and foreign exchange exposures also increased in several cases. Real estate prices have been buoyant, for example, in Brazil, Canada, China, Korea, and Thailand. Stock prices rebounded for a considerable time in China, Mexico and Russia. And credit expanded rapidly in Brazil, China, Korea and Turkey. In recent months, some of these developments have been partly reversed.
These positive trends, of course, are what we would expect, even with conventional policy. Again, it is the recipe of low interest rates and the hunt for return investors search for other opportunities, capital flows into emerging markets, with the usual potential for appreciation and credit growth.
We all know that the situation can turn quickly—as we have seen in recent days in some emerging market economies. These risks require constant monitoring and reassessment"
Christine Legarde

The risks of keeping a very loose monetary policy for a long period of time

 The balance of stability and risk-taking                                                                                  
 "The relationship between the two is not straightforward. Certainly, long periods of very loose monetary policy and ultra-low rates, mixed with the hunt for higher yields could prove to be a recipe for unhealthy risk-taking. At the same time, the absence of UMP could easily have resulted in worse growth outcomes, with even greater risk of financial distress.
 In particular, we will know whether the global market correction earlier this year was a useful reminder that exuberance can go too far, or if it is the start of a new period of choppy conditions and regular scares. We all hope for the former, but prudence suggests planning for the latter possibility.
Some modes of UMP affect the long end of the yield curve, perhaps more so than conventional monetary policy. That would tend to affect a broader range of assets and asset classes than we typically see with conventional monetary policy, and thus creates a risk-taking incentive that could prove worrying".

Christine Legard
Managing Director IMF

The Consumer Confidence Survey of July.Press Release

"The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index®, which had declined in July, increased slightly in August. The Index now stands at 81.5 (1985=100), up from 81.0 in July. The Present Situation Index decreased to 70.7 from 73.6. The Expectations Index increased to 88.7 from 86.0 last month.
The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey®, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was August 15.
Says Lynn Franco, Director of Economic Indicators: “Consumer Confidence increased slightly in August, a result of improving short-term expectations. Consumers were moderately more upbeat about business, job and earning prospects. In fact, income expectations, which had declined sharply earlier this year with the payroll tax hike, have rebounded to their highest level in two and a half years. Consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions, on the other hand, was somewhat less favorable than last month.”
Consumers’ assessment of current conditions moderately declined. Those stating business conditions are “good” decreased to 18.4 percent from 20.8 percent, while those stating business conditions are “bad” was virtually unchanged at 24.8 percent. Consumers’ appraisal of the labor market was mixed. Those claiming jobs are “plentiful” decreased to 11.4 percent from 12.3 percent, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” declined to 33.0 percent from 35.2 percent.
Consumers’ expectations, which had retreated in July, increased in August. Those expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months edged up to 20.1 percent from 19.9 percent. Those expecting business conditions to worsen declined slightly to 11.1 percent from 11.3 percent.
Consumers’ outlook for the labor market remained upbeat. Those anticipating more jobs in the months ahead increased to 17.6 percent from 16.7 percent, while those anticipating fewer jobs edged down to 17.3 percent from 17.7 percent. The proportion of consumers expecting their incomes to increase improved to 17.4 percent from 15.7 percent. Those expecting a decrease declined slightly to 13.5 percent from 13.7 percent".
Source: The Conference Board
Consumer Confidence Survey

Uncertainty of Western military action against Syria shakes world markets

Uncertainty about the possibility of Western military action against the Syrian government hit shares worldwide on Tuesday, sent many emerging market currencies to record lows and boosted assets such as yen and gold.
Dealers said the moves so far, spurred by reports from Washington that a strike may be imminent, were not yet on a huge scale as investors are waiting to see how the situation unfolds.
U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said Obama was consulting with allies before he decides on any retaliatory strike. While Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron added to the growing sense of imminent action by recalling the country's parliamentarians from their summer break.
The Indian rupee lost as much as 2.5 percent to reach record low of 65.93 per dollar while Turkey's lira weakened to 2.03 to the dollar - both were record lows. Turkey's share index .XU100also slid to a year 
low.

European shares were down 1.2 percent by midday, matching an earlier drop across Asian markets outside Japan . Tokyo's Nikkei 225 ended 0.7 percent lower.

That left the MSCI all-country world equity index  down around 0.5 percent for a second day of falls, though it remains off its lows for the month.
Russia, which as the world's top energy producer normally benefits from stronger oil prices, saw the rouble hit a four-year low against the dollar-euro basket, on concern over the situation in Syria.
As Syria's key ally and arms supplier, Russia has urged Washington not to use military force against President Bashar al-Assad's government. Traders said its response to any U.S. move against Syria  would be key to whether the current shift into safer assets turned into a major flood.
Spot gold rose to its highest since early June around $1,420 an ounce. Gold has rallied more than $200 since late June when prices troughed at three-year lows.
Source: Reuters

Precious Metals Prices 8.56 a.m. Eastern Time

Gold Price Futures     3 months    US$  1,419.04

Silver Price Futures    3 months    US$      24.58

S&P Case-Schiller HPI 0.9% in June

S&P Case-Shiller HPI
Released On 8/27/2013 9:00:00 AM For Jun, 2013
PriorPrior RevisedConsensusConsensus RangeActual
20-city, SA - M/M1.0 %1.0 %1.0 %0.6 % to 1.4 %0.9 %
20-city, NSA - M/M2.4 %2.5 %2.2 %
20-city, NSA - Yr/Yr12.2 %12.2 %12.2 %11.3 % to 12.3 %12.1 %

Home price appreciation is very strong but is a bit less frothy than during the spring. Case-Shiller's 20-city adjusted index is up 0.9 percent in the June report vs an average monthly gain of 1.4 percent from January to May. But the year-on-year adjusted gain, at a very sizable 12.0 percent, is just off its best level of the recovery which is May at plus 12.2 percent.

Monthly declines have been popping up in the data for the first time this year but are still isolated and mostly marginal. Year-on-year rates are strongest out West, around the 20 percent area led by Las Vegas at 24.8 percent and San Francisco at 24.4 percent. Note that West coast cities posted some of the sharpest declines during the 2008 meltdown. Cities showing the least gains this year are New York, at a year-on-year plus 3.2 percent, and Cleveland at 3.4 percent.

Unadjusted data are followed closely in this report and tell the same story with the year-on-year rate at 12.1 percent for the 20-city index. The unadjusted monthly gain in June, a month when buyer traffic is strong and sellers have pricing power, is 2.2 percent vs a revised 2.5 percent in May.

Prices for existing homes are very strong and remain a major plus for homeowners. Next housing data on the Econoday calendar will be tomorrow with purchase applications followed by pending home sales.
Source: Bloomberg

Precious Metals Prices 7.15 a.m. Eastern Time

Gold Price Futures      3 months     US$  1,417.50

Silver Price Futures     3 months     US$       24.45

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