Tuesday 27 May 2014

GLOBAL MARKETS-World shares hover near record high

 World shares were just shy of a record and the euro was being squeezed on Tuesday, on expectations the European Central Bank will extend more than five years of easy monetary policy when it meets next week.

U.S. markets were set to catch up when they reopen after Monday's holidays. Futures prices point to 0.4 to 0.5 percent gains for Wall Street that would also nudge MSCI's all-world share index  close to its 2007 record high.

Asset markets remain supported by record-low interest rates in the world's big economies as they recover from the financial crisis.

ECB chief Mario Draghi on Monday bolstered the view that the bank will cut euro zone interest rates again next week.  Other policymakers drove home the message on Tuesday.

The ECB has discussed "a situation where inflation rates are so low that there is a danger of economic growth being held back," Austrian ECB policymaker Ewald Nowotny said. "We will discuss which measures we can take here."

British markets were also closed on Monday, and on Tuesday Britain's FTSE 100  led the way in Europe. It rose 0.3 percent, compared with a 0.2 percent higher but record-high DAX and 0.1 percent lower CAC40 <.FCHI> in France.

The likelihood of lower rates also helped euro zone bonds from Germany to Italy , Spain and Greece . The euro came under pressure again as it dipped to $1.3625.

As well as a rate cut, the ECB is preparing a package of other easing measures, Reuters reported earlier this month. They include charging banks a penalty if they hoard cash and targeted measures aimed at boosting lending to smaller firms.

"The euro's inability to hold on to the early gains is striking," said Nick Parsons, global head of forex for National Australia Bank in London. "What I increasingly hear from investors and clients is that whatever Mr Draghi does next week will be seen as a disappointment, but they are not prepared to hold a longer euro position into that."


AFTERNOON SLUMP

Draghi said on Monday that the ECB needed to be

"particularly watchful" for any negative price spiral in the euro zone, and that "more pre-emptive action may be warranted." He is set to speak again later on the final day of an ECB forum underway in Portugal.

Interest rates on benchmark 10-year German Bunds hovered at 1.358 percent. Italian bonds consolidated gains from Monday after Italy's government scored a surprisingly easy win in European Parliament elections over the anti-establishment 5-Star Movement.

The euro's early afternoon slump helped the dollar recover from a 0.2 percent loss against a basket of currencies <.DXY> earlier after another retreat in U.S. bond yields.

London-based analysts and traders said another big batch of U.S. economic numbers were the best bet for a bigger market move on Tuesday after a tight few days of trading, thinned out by the U.S. and UK holiday weekends.

Stronger-than-expected durable goods data helped the greenback. Sterling sank as much as 0.4 percent against the dollar and euro as soft lending data in Britain added to concerns over a European election win for the anti-EU UKIP party.


Source: Reuters

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