Friday 23 May 2014

WSJ: Sina Spreads Gloom Amid Chinese Internet Boom

        The WSJ reports, "Chinese Internet portal operator Sina  is giving investors plenty to worry about, and not much to look forward to.
Both Sina and microblog service Weibo, in which it retains a majority stake after last month's New York listing, lost money during the first quarter. Sina's revenue was up 36% from a year earlier, helped by a 161% surge at Weibo, where the number of monthly active users grew 11% from three months earlier, to 144 million. But Sina warned of a coming rough patch, with top-line growth expected to slow to 16% to 19% in the second quarter.
Sina's dour outlook reflects some issues unique to the company. But it also highlights sector-wide risks from regulation and intense competition that compatriots such as JD.com, which priced its IPO Wednesday above expectations, as well as the big Kahuna of Chinese IPOs in the pipeline, Alibaba, aren't immune from.
The immediate issue for Sina is the threat from China's censorship-loving regulators, who have revoked Sina's licenses for video and Internet publishing due to alleged pornographic content. Sina says it is working with the government on a resolution, and it can still offer some reading and video services. But Sina Chief Executive Charles Chao said some advertisers are already pulling back from commitments. It is another reminder that making money on the Chinese Internet has its own set of rules.
More broadly, Mr. Chao said the macroeconomic backdrop in China currently is "not positive" for advertising, with the slowdown hitting certain ad categories such as autos.
A decline in consumer spending will surely hurt the big e-commerce names too but less than Sina, which is dependent on highly cyclical ad revenue that tends to fare worse in downturns.
The picture is no better for Sina's bottom line, as the company now plans to increase spending to catch up to rivals in areas such as mobile and video. Mr. Chao said while developing the Twitter  -like Weibo, Sina underinvested in its core portal business over the past few years. It faces headwinds similar to those hitting U.S. portal sites such as Yahoo  in moving desktop users to smartphones.
Even at fast-growing Weibo, more spending is in store. Competition with Tencent Holdings  ' WeChat messaging app is intensifying as both companies spend heavily to attract users and keep engagement rising. In another example of an Internet company leader's telling investors they have gotten ahead of themselves, Mr. Chao warned operating results at Weibo this year "may turn out to be significantly lower than the street has expected.""

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