Thursday, 18 July 2013

Blackrock: China's economic rebalance offer long-term gains

Though suffering a slower GDP growth, China's painful steps to achieve economic rebalance could offer long-term gains, Ewen Cameron Watt, chief strategist at the BlackRock Investment Institute, said Thursday.
"It is undoubtedly a desirable policy to reduce the dependence on fixed asset investment, and increase the share of consumption. China's government and financial regulators are doing right things in that respect, and deregulation of interest rate is also helpful," Watt said.
"I think allowing the consumers' (savings) real interest rate to return to positive is important to this (economy rebalance) shift."
Watt, who spoke with Xinhua after the release of the institute's midyear investment outlook report, said that in his opinion, "the size of the Chinese economy is understated in the official numbers.
"The services industry is particular under-measured. Looking at the share of industry of other economies in the same state of development," Watt said, "I think the economy is more balanced than you think when you look at the official data."
According to the outlook report, China's credit has been growing at an alarming pace, and the government now faces a stark choice -- either cleaning up the mess now and facing some market disruption, or waiting and confronting an even bigger problem later. Beijing smartly appears to take the first route.
Source; Xinhua

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