China surprised markets with a thumping trade performance in January as import growth hit a six-month high, drawing some scepticism about the data but still allaying fears of a deepening economic malaise.
Analysts who had expected the long Lunar New Year holiday to drag on January's trade warned that the figures may be inflated by fake trade transactions, where traders forge deals to sneak cash into the country past capital controls.
The value of China's total exports climbed 10.6 percent in January from a year earlier, the Customs Administration said on Wednesday, more than five times market forecasts for a 2 percent rise.
The value of imports also jumped 10 percent from a year ago as China bought record volumes of iron ore, crude oil and copper. That lifted import growth to its highest level since July, handily beating predictions for a 3 percent gain.
The country's trade surplus rose to $31.9 billion, well above forecasts of $23.7 billion and December's $25.6 billion.
"We find this strong level of export growth puzzling," said Zhang Zhiwei, an economist at Nomura. "It is unclear to what extent the strong export data reflects the true strength in the economy."
A run of underwhelming economic data from China in recent weeks had steeled investors for another disappointment on Wednesday, as markets braced themselves for more signs that the world's second-largest economy is losing momentum.
Fears that China may be slipping into a sharper-than-expected slowdown were believed to have fed a fierce selloff in global financial markets in January, with emerging markets hit particularly hard.
As the Lunar New Year falls in January in some years and in February in others, distorting trends early in the year, it may be months before investors see data which offers more reliable clues on the economy's true direction.
Still, Asian investors welcomed the trade data and pushed stock prices higher for the fourth straight session. An optimistic economic outlook from new Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen also cheered markets. [MKTS/GLOB]
A resilient Chinese economy is good news for the world, particularly for major commodity exporters such as Australia.
Already the world's biggest exporter, China may overtake the United States to be the world's largest importer this year, HSBC Bank has predicted.
Economists expect China's economy to grow at its slackest pace in 14 years this year at 7.4 percent. But even then, it is still expected to add twice as much demand to the world economy than the United States, HSBC said.
"Looking ahead, improving conditions in developed economies should continue to support Chinese exports," said Julian Evans-Pritchard, an economist at Capital Markets in Singapore.
Source: Reuters
Analysts who had expected the long Lunar New Year holiday to drag on January's trade warned that the figures may be inflated by fake trade transactions, where traders forge deals to sneak cash into the country past capital controls.
The value of China's total exports climbed 10.6 percent in January from a year earlier, the Customs Administration said on Wednesday, more than five times market forecasts for a 2 percent rise.
The value of imports also jumped 10 percent from a year ago as China bought record volumes of iron ore, crude oil and copper. That lifted import growth to its highest level since July, handily beating predictions for a 3 percent gain.
The country's trade surplus rose to $31.9 billion, well above forecasts of $23.7 billion and December's $25.6 billion.
"We find this strong level of export growth puzzling," said Zhang Zhiwei, an economist at Nomura. "It is unclear to what extent the strong export data reflects the true strength in the economy."
A run of underwhelming economic data from China in recent weeks had steeled investors for another disappointment on Wednesday, as markets braced themselves for more signs that the world's second-largest economy is losing momentum.
Fears that China may be slipping into a sharper-than-expected slowdown were believed to have fed a fierce selloff in global financial markets in January, with emerging markets hit particularly hard.
As the Lunar New Year falls in January in some years and in February in others, distorting trends early in the year, it may be months before investors see data which offers more reliable clues on the economy's true direction.
Still, Asian investors welcomed the trade data and pushed stock prices higher for the fourth straight session. An optimistic economic outlook from new Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen also cheered markets. [MKTS/GLOB]
A resilient Chinese economy is good news for the world, particularly for major commodity exporters such as Australia.
Already the world's biggest exporter, China may overtake the United States to be the world's largest importer this year, HSBC Bank has predicted.
Economists expect China's economy to grow at its slackest pace in 14 years this year at 7.4 percent. But even then, it is still expected to add twice as much demand to the world economy than the United States, HSBC said.
"Looking ahead, improving conditions in developed economies should continue to support Chinese exports," said Julian Evans-Pritchard, an economist at Capital Markets in Singapore.
Source: Reuters
